Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.176935 4.475657 4.799337 5.178746 5.614764 6.104511 6.702573
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.765684 4.152534 4.594621 5.145243 5.824710 6.653164 7.769510
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.472762 3.916989 4.446849 5.141410 6.054516 7.257943 9.052444
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.241313 3.726724 4.327557 5.152267 6.303362 7.943975 10.677318
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.111027 3.646821 4.335746 5.329035 6.811778 9.133243 13.614620
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.866529 3.398494 4.098139 5.137776 6.757919 9.461964 15.293623
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.748182 3.305709 4.060760 5.228713 7.160580 10.702939 19.872295
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.628539 3.200980 3.996049 5.270601 7.498742 11.986295 26.343482
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.471097 3.032381 3.824416 5.123580 7.480005 12.551786 31.863836
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.320738 2.864151 3.640139 4.935430 7.353439 12.848146 37.454560
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.291021 2.865360 3.708836 5.177488 8.124428 15.880911 78.092301
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.309759 2.937892 3.894281 5.656302 9.576452 22.737202 11012.445802
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.196095 2.817143 3.780357 5.608748 9.919619 26.896985 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.081044 2.686887 3.639942 5.491942 10.070390 30.949216 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.985454 2.580658 3.530903 5.423899 10.354399 37.364128 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.903227 2.490132 3.440968 5.383421 10.729045 47.469200 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.855764 2.451361 3.437243 5.528874 11.809786 80.937708 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.758396 2.326796 3.271381 5.289598 11.453723 87.647353 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.710242 2.279275 3.240384 5.355286 12.305302 181.792703 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.659737 2.224841 3.192109 5.373732 13.021705 670.957278 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.590221 2.135405 3.072363 5.201740 12.821669 1782.093366 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.521239 2.043963 2.943530 4.993115 12.378483 3279.618156 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.507823 2.044509 2.987890 5.226344 14.287682 NaN NaN